Yield and Time

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.7 percentage points.

This page asks what each yield is paying you for. It compares the rate with time, the size of the market and a government bond of similar length, then removes the largest venue before judging the opportunity.

RATE
TIME
a higher number can hide a longer lock or a thinner exit
Middle fixed on-chain rate9.9%Across 33 markets
Money-weighted fixed rate12.2%Larger markets count more
Middle stablecoin base rate3.8%Large lending pools
Ethereum staking rate2.2%Representative base yield
Three-month government rate4.2%Closest low-risk comparison
Ten-year government rate5.3%Long government rate
Government curve gap+1.06 ptsTen year minus three month
On-chain rates below government2 of 33Similar time comparison
Middle extra payment+5.7 ptsOn-chain minus government
Short-term on-chain rate11.4%90 days or less
Longer-term on-chain rate5.4%More than 180 days
Time premium-6.0 ptsLonger minus short
Value across fixed markets$187.9mnScreened liquidity
Top five share55.7%Concentration check
Largest fixed marketUSDai$50.4mn
Rate on largest market12.9%4 days
Middle futures payment-0.2%Annualised; can flip quickly
Highest futures paymentSOL+2.7%
Positive futures markets1 of 4Long traders paying shorts

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What are you being paid for?

A rate can pay for borrower demand, locking money, taking token risk or accepting a thin exit. The page compares the number with time and market size before calling it attractive.

Fixed marketTime leftFixed rateGovernment rateExtra paymentValue available
USDai4 days12.9%4.1%+8.8 pts$50.4mn
apyUSD25 days16.2%4.1%+12.1 pts$19.7mn
reUSD60 days11.9%4.1%+7.8 pts$12.4mn
siUSD88 days9.9%4.2%+5.7 pts$11.1mn
SIERRA11 days9.7%4.1%+5.7 pts$11.0mn
sUSDai4 days13.3%4.1%+9.3 pts$10.9mn
USD367 days15.1%4.2%+10.9 pts$7.2mn
sUSDx53 days19.0%4.1%+14.9 pts$6.1mn
sUSDD46 days5.4%4.1%+1.4 pts$5.1mn
wstETH445 days2.1%4.4%-2.3 pts$5.1mn
sUSDS46 days5.0%4.1%+0.9 pts$4.8mn
reUSDe60 days18.6%4.1%+14.6 pts$4.7mn
strUSD46 days11.4%4.1%+7.3 pts$4.6mn
sUSDe46 days5.1%4.1%+1.0 pts$3.8mn
srUSDe11 days5.7%4.1%+1.6 pts$3.8mn

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.7 percentage points.

Does the easy yield survive comparison?

Stablecoin lending, Ethereum staking, government bonds and futures payments are separated because each pays for something different.

Fixed on-chain9.9%
Stablecoin lending3.8%
Ethereum staking2.2%
Three-month government4.2%
Futures payment-0.2%

A high rate is only useful when the borrower, time lock and exit are acceptable. The number alone is not the opportunity.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated