Yield and Time

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.0 percentage points.

This page asks what each yield is paying you for. It compares the rate with time, the size of the market and a government bond of similar length, then removes the largest venue before judging the opportunity.

RATE
TIME
a higher number can hide a longer lock or a thinner exit
Middle fixed on-chain rate9.3%Across 36 markets
Money-weighted fixed rate11.9%Larger markets count more
Middle stablecoin base rate3.8%Large lending pools
Ethereum staking rate2.2%Representative base yield
Three-month government rate4.3%Closest low-risk comparison
Ten-year government rate5.1%Long government rate
Government curve gap+0.82 ptsTen year minus three month
On-chain rates below government5 of 36Similar time comparison
Middle extra payment+5.0 ptsOn-chain minus government
Short-term on-chain rate11.4%90 days or less
Longer-term on-chain rate5.4%More than 180 days
Time premium-6.0 ptsLonger minus short
Value across fixed markets$134.3mnScreened liquidity
Top five share46.7%Concentration check
Largest fixed marketapyUSD$18.1mn
Rate on largest market15.9%15 days
Middle futures payment+6.3%Annualised; can flip quickly
Highest futures paymentBTC+8.0%
Positive futures markets3 of 4Long traders paying shorts

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What are you being paid for?

A rate can pay for borrower demand, locking money, taking token risk or accepting a thin exit. The page compares the number with time and market size before calling it attractive.

Fixed marketTime leftFixed rateGovernment rateExtra paymentValue available
apyUSD15 days15.9%4.2%+11.7 pts$18.1mn
reUSD50 days12.1%4.2%+8.0 pts$13.3mn
siUSD78 days9.8%4.3%+5.5 pts$13.0mn
SIERRA1 days12.1%4.2%+7.9 pts$11.0mn
sUSDai127 days8.8%4.3%+4.5 pts$7.3mn
USD357 days15.2%4.2%+11.0 pts$7.2mn
sUSDx43 days18.6%4.2%+14.4 pts$7.0mn
sUSDD36 days5.4%4.2%+1.3 pts$5.1mn
wstETH435 days2.2%4.5%-2.3 pts$4.9mn
reUSDe50 days18.8%4.2%+14.6 pts$4.6mn
strUSD36 days11.4%4.2%+7.2 pts$4.5mn
sUSDS36 days5.3%4.2%+1.1 pts$4.2mn
sUSDe36 days5.0%4.2%+0.8 pts$3.5mn
USDx43 days13.4%4.2%+9.3 pts$3.3mn
srUSDe1 days5.6%4.2%+1.5 pts$3.3mn

Most fixed on-chain rates pay more than a similar-length US government rate, but the middle extra payment is only 5.0 percentage points.

Does the easy yield survive comparison?

Stablecoin lending, Ethereum staking, government bonds and futures payments are separated because each pays for something different.

Fixed on-chain9.3%
Stablecoin lending3.8%
Ethereum staking2.2%
Three-month government4.3%
Futures payment+6.3%

A high rate is only useful when the borrower, time lock and exit are acceptable. The number alone is not the opportunity.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated