Charcoal smoke exit door · turnstile lanes · jam then Bitcoin · · charcoal / exit-green / jammed-red
Who Can Still Leave ranks live exit room at the venue by top-50 book depth versus 24-hour turnover, then asks what Bitcoin and Ether did after jam onsets. Open exit share sits at 40% (2 of 5 names above the median score). Jammed names number 3; the easiest lane is SOL at 3.973%, and the tightest pocket is BTC at 0.120%. The tight-exit streak is 0 days (longest 5); after jam onsets Bitcoin averaged -1.2% three days later (n=6), and Ether averaged -2.0% on its own line. Capacity versus yesterday prints -44.4% on the Bitcoin turnover proxy.
Anyone can quote exchange reserves as a headline. Exclusive here: open exit share 40% with 3 jammed names, easiest lane SOL at 3.973% and locked pocket BTC at 0.120%, tight-exit streak 0 days (longest 5), Bitcoin three days after jam onsets averaged -1.2% (n=6), Ether after the same onsets averaged -2.0% on its own line, capacity versus yesterday -44.4%, and Bitcoin book imbalance -85.4%.
Each block shows the plain name, the figure, a chart, and Charlie's short reading right under it.
Open exit share is the fraction of names whose top-50 depth over 24-hour turnover sits above the sample median. Right now 2 of 5 names clear that bar, so the open share is 40%. An open lane means the visible book is large enough versus today's trading that sellers can leave without chewing as hard. The jammed side of the same recipe sits at 3 names.
Jammed names are coins whose depth-to-turnover score sits at or below the sample median of 0.663%. Today that count is 3 names. A jammed exit means a seller who needs size will push through more of the visible book before the order is done. That is a mechanical book fact about how much of the visible book a large leave will consume.
The largest locked pocket is the hardest exit in this sample: BTC at 0.120% depth over turnover. Visible top-50 depth there is about 1.3M. Compared with the median score of 0.663%, this lane is the one most likely to move price when size tries to leave. Read it as the tightest turnstile on the hall, not as a slogan.
Who still has room to leave is the easiest exit right now: SOL at 3.973% depth over turnover. That is 6.00x the sample median. Visible top-50 depth is about 7.5M. This name can absorb more leaving size before the book thins out.
The leader exit score is top-50 notional depth divided by 24-hour quote volume, shown as a percent. SOL prints 3.973% on that recipe. Higher means more of the day's trading can clear against the visible book. It is a live capacity reading, not a forecast of tomorrow's tape.
Across 6 dated jam onsets (Bitcoin volume more than 1.4 times its prior seven-day norm), Bitcoin averaged -1.2% three days later. Bitcoin usually softened. Across the last 6 cases, Bitcoin averaged -1.2% three days later, with 4 of those 6 finishing down more than one percent. The join is jam onset first, Bitcoin later, so one busy hour cannot rewrite the sample.
This streak counts consecutive days when Bitcoin turnover stayed more than 1.4 times its prior seven-day norm. Today that tight-exit run sits at 0 days, and the longest run in this window was 5. A long run means the exit hall kept facing heavy traffic versus its recent pace. A zero means the tight flag is not active right now.
Across 6 dated jam onsets, Ether averaged -2.0% three days later. Ether was mixed rather than a clean crash. Across the last 6 cases, Ether averaged -2.0% three days later, with 3 dips and 1 climb (a dip means down more than one percent, a climb means up more than one percent). This line stays on Ether alone so the desk keeps a separate crypto mark.
Capacity versus yesterday compares Bitcoin's last completed daily quote volume with the day before that, while holding today's visible book fixed in mind. The capacity change proxy prints -44.4% (prior completed-day volume over the latest completed day, minus one). A negative print means turnover rose, so the same book covers less of the day's leaving flow. A positive print means yesterday was busier, so relative room looks wider today.
Bitcoin's visible book imbalance is bids minus asks over total top-50 depth, now -85.4%. A deep negative means the ask side is heavier, so leaving into bids can feel thinner. A positive print means bids dominate the visible pocket. Sides matter before you trust any single exit-score number.
Put the pieces together in ordinary language. Open share and jammed count (40% / 3) are the live hall reading. Easiest and locked lanes (SOL / BTC) show who can still leave and who eats more book. Tight-exit streak plus Bitcoin and Ether after jam onsets (0 / -1.2% / -2.0%) turn the hall into a market story. Capacity versus yesterday and book imbalance (-44.4% / -85.4%) keep the turnover and sides check under the reserve headline.
Open exit share is 40%, with SOL still the easiest lane and BTC the tightest pocket. The tight-exit streak sits at 0 days (longest 5). After jam onsets, Bitcoin averaged -1.2% and Ether averaged -2.0% on its own line. We wait for the next jam onset and the next three-day Bitcoin print before ink dries on a leaving-stress claim.
Where the story disagrees with itself. Reserve headlines can look calm while 3 names already sit at or below the median exit score. A tight-exit streak of 0 next to a Bitcoin-after-jam print of -1.2% is exactly where busy turnover and leaving room disagree.
What this page is silent on. This page does not track icebergs, OTC desks, or non-Binance books. A multi-venue exit can be easier than this Binance-only hall suggests, and stablecoin rail trouble can overstate how closed the doors feel.
What would flip the caution. If open exit share climbs while the tight-exit streak resets to zero and Bitcoin stays firm after jam onsets, ease any rush to call leaving stressed. If jammed names rise, the streak lengthens, and Bitcoin stays soft after jam onsets, lean toward a real leaving-stress read rather than a one-day volume splash.