Stablecoin Depeg History & Recovery

See which stablecoins stray from $1, how long the gaps last, and whether they return.

FRAX has the lowest available quote at $0.9923, 0.774% below $1. 7 of 8 quoted tokens are within 0.15% of a dollar. A price near $1 does not tell us whether reserves or withdrawals are sound.

Eight prices. One dollar.Latest available quotes
$1 referenceUSDT: -0.0144% from $1USDTUSDC: -0.0086% from $1USDCDAI: -0.0027% from $1DAIFRAX: -0.7737% from $1FRAXTUSD: -0.0766% from $1TUSDUSDe: -0.0262% from $1USDeFDUSD: -0.1211% from $1FDUSDUSDD: -0.0545% from $1USDD
Column length shows the quoted distance from $1. The view turns; the readings stay fixed.
$0.9923Lowest quoted priceFRAX · latest available quote
7/8Tokens near $1Within 0.15% · latest quotes
8Observed large gapsAt least 0.5% away · 365-day record
6Returned near $1Back inside 0.15% · observed gaps
1Still awayAt the final available reading
1Outcomes unclearMissing dates or a change of side
86Longest discount runFRAX · consecutive daily readings
7Days with shared discountsTwo or more tokens below $0.995

FRAX: brief slip or lasting gap?

Distance from $1$1 referenceWithin 0.15% of $1
-2.00%+0.00%+0.38%2026-06-112026-09-08

Each point is one daily observation, not the day’s lowest price.

Charlie’s viewFRAX was at least half a cent below $1 on 89 of 90 available daily readings in this 90-day window. It was at least half a cent above on 0. The gaps between observations are not measured.

90/90Daily readings found
0Readings within 0.15% of $1
89Readings below $0.995
0Readings above $1.005

Which gaps lasted?

Charlie’s viewFRAX was at least half a cent below $1 on 296 of 364 available dates. A small discount that keeps returning is different from a short, sharp drop. Compare both before treating today’s price as the whole story.

TokenHistory foundBelow $0.995Above $1.005Lowest gapLongest run below $0.995
USDT364 / 365 days0 readings0 readings-0.213%0 readings
USDC364 / 365 days0 readings0 readings-0.119%0 readings
DAI364 / 365 days0 readings0 readings-0.238%0 readings
FRAX364 / 365 days296 readings0 readings-3.280%86 readings
TUSD364 / 365 days4 readings0 readings-0.559%1 readings
USDe364 / 365 days2 readings0 readings-1.619%2 readings
FDUSD364 / 365 days1 readings1 readings-0.516%1 readings
USDD364 / 365 days0 readings0 readings-0.289%0 readings

The last 365 completed calendar dates. A run counts consecutive daily readings, not continuous hours. Missing history is not a clean record.

Back near $1, or still away?

Crossing back inside 0.15% of a dollar ends an observed gap here. That is a return near $1, not proof that every holder could redeem at $1.

TokenObserved gapsReturned near $1Still away at last readingOutcome unclear
USDT0000
USDC0000
DAI0000
FRAX3111
TUSD2200
USDe1100
FDUSD2200
USDD0000

A gap starts at least 0.5% above or below $1. An outcome stays unclear when a day is missing or the price jumps to the opposite side. A record can begin after the gap already started.

Explore the individual gaps
TokenFirst observedDirectionReadingsOutcome
TUSD2026-08-01
Start observed
discount33Returned near $1
2026-09-02
FRAX2026-05-11
Start unknown
discount121Still away at last reading
FRAX2026-03-01
Start observed
discount70Outcome unclear
USDe2026-01-31
Start observed
discount3Returned near $1
2026-02-02
FDUSD2025-11-19
Start observed
discount21Returned near $1
2025-12-09
TUSD2025-11-14
Start observed
discount20Returned near $1
2025-12-03
FDUSD2025-11-05
Start observed
premium2Returned near $1
2025-11-06
FRAX2025-11-02
Start observed
discount119Returned near $1
2026-02-28

One coin, or several at once?

Charlie’s viewAt least two tracked tokens were 0.5% below $1 on 7 of 364 dates with two or more token readings. At least two were 0.5% above on 0 dates. The directions matter: a premium on one token is not the same problem as a discount on another.

DateTokens below $0.995Tokens above $1.005Tokens with readings
2026-08-01FRAX, TUSDNone8
2026-02-01FRAX, USDeNone8
2026-01-31FRAX, USDeNone8
2025-11-25FRAX, TUSDNone8
2025-11-19FRAX, FDUSDNone8
2025-11-17FRAX, TUSDNone8
2025-11-14FRAX, TUSDNone8

Showing the 12 most recent shared-gap dates, if available. This comparison does not establish that trouble spread from one token to another.

Did Bitcoin and Ether follow?

Look at what followed the observed gap, then remove the coin behind the most cases. A result that changes direction is a weak basis for a trading claim.

Bitcoin, three days later

-1.19%

Average across 6 separate completed windows. The middle result was -3.12%.

Without dates involving FRAX: -2.91% across 4 windows.

Ether, three days later

-3.55%

Average across 6 separate completed windows. The middle result was -5.50%.

Without dates involving FRAX: -4.64% across 4 windows.

Dollar returns from the observation date’s daily close to three days later. Overlapping windows are left out. These are past outcomes, not evidence that stablecoin gaps caused them or will predict them.

The next connectionBoth average directions survive removing those dates. But we still need an ordinary-period comparison before calling this unusual. Check stablecoin supply next: did balances also shrink around the same dates, or was this only a price gap?

See the dates behind these returns
FromToTokenBitcoin returnEther returnWithout FRAX
2025-11-022025-11-05FRAX-6.10%-12.42%Excluded
2025-11-142025-11-17TUSD-2.44%-2.55%Included
2025-11-192025-11-22FDUSD-7.45%-8.45%Included
2026-01-312026-02-03USDe-3.80%-8.90%Included
2026-03-012026-03-04FRAX+10.61%+9.67%Excluded
2026-08-012026-08-04TUSD+2.06%+1.35%Included
Ask Charlie about this desk

Compare the eight tracked tokens, ask about their dollar gaps, or choose a period. Prices alone cannot tell us which token is safest.