Is crypto weakness broad enough to call it winter?

Strength is broad

There is no hidden temperature score. Price trend, borrowed trading, public mood and digital-dollar supply are shown separately because they can disagree.

Price trend5 of 5 above 200-day line
30-day breadth5 of 5 higher
Futures cost4 of 5 positive
Public mood64/100 · Greed
Majors above 200-day line5 of 5Long trend breadth
Majors higher · 30 days5 of 5Recent breadth
Bitcoin from 260-day high-7.5%Damage already suffered
Median funding · 8 hours+0.0045%Current cost of long versus short
Funding positive4 of 5Borrowed-trading breadth
BTC open contracts · 7 days-7.9%Value of open futures contracts
Fear & Greed64/100Greed
Digital-dollar supply · 30 days+0.8%Stock, not money spent

Is price weakness broad?

One Bitcoin chart cannot describe the whole market. These five large coins use the same 200-day and 30-day tests.

CoinLast closeVs 200-day line30 daysFrom 260-day highLong trend
BTC$82,635.55+14.9%+5.5%-7.5%Above
ETH$2,487.70+16.7%+0.8%-17.8%Above
SOL$109.13+25.9%+7.4%-14.2%Above
BNB$742.32+15.7%+2.7%-17.8%Above
XRP$1.40+9.0%+0.1%-27.1%Above

Is borrowed trading adding pressure?

The current funding payment is shown per eight hours. The annual figure only says what that single rate would cost if it never changed; it can change several times a day.

CoinCurrent 8-hour rateIf unchanged for a year
XRP+0.0010%+1.1%
BTC+0.0045%+4.9%
BNB+0.0000%+0.0%
ETH+0.0054%+5.9%
SOL+0.0076%+8.3%

Bitcoin’s open futures value changed -7.9% in seven days. Rising contracts beside falling price can add pressure; falling contracts may simply mean traders closed positions.

Does mood agree with the money?

Public mood is greed, while digital-dollar supply changed +0.8% in 30 days. More stablecoins existing does not prove they were spent on crypto.

What survives the removal test?

0 of five plain checks currently lean cold. There is no cold check to remove today. Funding sits at +0.0028% after removing the most extreme coin, so one contract cannot control the futures reading.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated