Is crypto weakness broad enough to call it winter?

The market sends a mixed seasonal signal

There is no hidden temperature score. Price trend, borrowed trading, public mood and digital-dollar supply are shown separately because they can disagree.

Price uses the latest complete UTC day · futures are a separate live strip

Price trend5 of 5 above 200-day line

30-day breadth0 of 5 higher

Futures cost5 of 5 positive

Public mood51/100 · Neutral

Majors above 200-day line5 of 5Long trend breadth

Majors higher · 30 days0 of 5Recent breadth

Bitcoin from 260-day high-6.1%Damage already suffered

Median funding · 8 hours+0.0084%Current cost of long versus short

Funding positive5 of 5Borrowed-trading breadth

BTC open contracts · 7 days-5.4%Value of open futures contracts

Fear & Greed51/100Neutral

Digital-dollar supply · 30 days-1.7%Stock, not money spent

Is price weakness broad?

One Bitcoin chart cannot describe the whole market. These five large coins use the same 200-day and 30-day tests.

CoinLast closeVs 200-day line30 daysFrom 260-day highLong trend

BTC$81,343.50+11.3%-2.6%-6.1%Above

ETH$2,359.68+9.2%-12.2%-15.0%Above

SOL$102.44+15.5%-13.8%-16.1%Above

BNB$759.85+16.2%-0.5%-4.9%Above

XRP$1.33+3.7%-11.4%-15.7%Above

Is borrowed trading adding pressure?

The current funding payment is shown per eight hours. The annual figure only says what that single rate would cost if it never changed; it can change several times a day.

CoinCurrent 8-hour rateIf unchanged for a year

XRP+0.0100%+11.0%

BTC+0.0062%+6.8%

SOL+0.0100%+11.0%

ETH+0.0077%+8.4%

BNB+0.0084%+9.2%

Bitcoin’s open futures value changed -5.4% in seven days. Rising contracts beside falling price can add pressure; falling contracts may simply mean traders closed positions.

Does mood agree with the money?

Public mood is neutral, while digital-dollar supply changed -1.7% in 30 days. More stablecoins existing does not prove they were spent on crypto.

What survives the removal test?

2 of five plain checks currently lean cold. Remove any one cold check and 1 remain. Funding sits at +0.0080% after removing the most extreme coin, so one contract cannot control the futures reading.