Charlie Quant Lab
Research / Crypto Market Intelligence

What is the crypto market doing today?

How far it moved, how many coins joined in, what is pushing it, and what would change the picture. The answer comes first.

Prices checked10 Oct 2026 · 20:15 UTC
Today’s market state

Broad advancesimilar size across coins

31 of 42 large coins also rose; stablecoin supply is shrinking; on-chain trading is quieter than last week. Bitcoin has recently moved more than option prices suggest, so traders may be too relaxed about another sudden swing.

Does the headline hold?

The market rose 0.92% in 24 hours. 74% of tracked large coins rose, while the typical coin moved +1.42%. The direction was broad enough to matter. The typical coin moved by a similar amount.

Money over the weekFewer digital dollars

Stablecoin supply fell 0.29% this week, and on-chain trading fell 32.60% from last week. These are weekly numbers, so they cannot explain one day's move.

What traders pay for protectionTraders may be too relaxed

Bitcoin has recently moved more than option prices expect.

How many coins joined in9 fell, 31 rose

2 tracked coins were almost unchanged.

rosefellflat
Total market value$2.82TAll coins tracked
Market move, 24h+0.92%31 of 42 large coins rose
Trading, 24h$47.75BAll buying and selling recorded
Stablecoin supply$310.98B-0.29% this week
Bitcoin share59.1%Share of total market value
Biggest single partBitcoin +0.8%

The biggest single part of the rise (53.3%), but it moved less than the other coins. Without it, the rise is bigger.

Tracked basket+1.00%

21 large coins (not counting stablecoins), weighted by market value.

Without that coin+1.48%

The same coins without Bitcoin.

1. Which parts of the market moved?

A sector can rise because many assets gained, or because one strange number distorted the total. This compares the move with the amount traded relative to the sector’s size.

AnswerPrediction markets leads the sectors we can confirm at +12.2%. Liquid staking has the most trading for its size at 16.8%. Real-world assets is the weak spot at +1.0%, with trading equal to 2.4% of its sector value.
How to read the chartRight means a larger rise. Higher means more trading for the sector’s size. Circle size shows sector size.
See every sector figure
Prediction markets+12.2%0.3%
AI tokens+6.2%9.4%
Layer 2+5.7%14.7%
Privacy+4.0%4.8%
DeFi+3.8%5.0%
Liquid staking+3.5%16.8%
Physical infrastructure+3.2%6.6%
Gaming+2.5%12.8%
Meme coins+1.7%4.6%
Exchange tokens+1.6%1.5%
Real-world assets+1.0%2.4%

2. Are borrowed bets making it fragile?

Futures let traders bet more than the cash they put down. When a bet goes wrong, the exchange closes it by force, which can push the price further. This shows what those bets cost to keep open and how many were forced shut.

AnswerExpensive futures bets are widespread. High-cost contracts make up 31.26% of tracked open contract value; forced closures were 0.00% of that open value; 0% of closures hit bets on a rise. This shows where traders were hurt; it does not prove futures caused the price move.
How to read the chartRight means rise bets are paying. Left means fall bets are paying. Bigger circles mean more contract value remains open. The rate can change every few hours.

3. Is new money arriving?

Stablecoins are digital dollars, the cash of crypto. More of them means more cash is ready to spend. It does not prove anyone spent it.

AnswerFewer digital dollars: Stablecoin supply fell 0.29% this week, and on-chain trading fell 32.60% from last week. These are weekly numbers, so they cannot explain one day's move. Stablecoin supply changed -0.29% this week and +0.67% this month. On-chain trading changed -32.6% from last week. The three largest networks hold 69.2% of value kept in on-chain apps.
Digital-dollar supplyMore supply means more digital dollars exist. The vertical scale follows the recent range rather than starting at zero.
Where app value sitsThis is value held in on-chain apps, not the total value of each network.

4. Are traders ready for a big swing?

Options are insurance against big price moves. Their price shows how big a move traders expect. We compare that with how much Bitcoin has actually been moving. If it has moved more than traders expect, they may be too relaxed.

AnswerTraders may be too relaxed: Bitcoin has recently moved more than option prices expect.
Swing traders expect20.9%
Swing actually seen37.3%
How to read the chartThe horizontal line is Bitcoin’s recent movement. Points above it price a larger future move.

5. Coin by coin

Each large coin’s move, how busy its trading was, and what futures traders pay to keep their bets open.

17 of 21 tracked large coins (not counting stablecoins) rose over 24 hours.

#AssetPrice24-hour moveTrading vs sizeYearly cost of a futures betWhat it shows
20NEAR ProtocolNEAR$5.32+14.0%12.8%Not availableFast rise; check if it lasts
18RainRAIN$0.0116+12.3%0.2%Not availableUp, but trading is light
17CardanoADA$0.2529+6.8%5.6%+8.4%Up, but trading is light
22Bitcoin CashBCH$281.27+2.8%2.5%Not availableToday reversed the week
21StellarXLM$0.1969+2.5%1.2%Not availableToday reversed the week
14ChainlinkLINK$13.05+2.2%2.1%Not availableToday reversed the week
11HyperliquidHYPE$85.25+2.0%3.0%Not availableToday reversed the week
12DogecoinDOGE$0.0860+1.6%2.8%+6.4%Today reversed the week
4BNBBNB$750.25+1.6%0.5%+14.8%People betting on a rise are paying heavily
15MoneroXMR$529.89+1.5%1.1%Not availableToday reversed the week
10ZcashZEC$1,223.11+1.4%1.9%Not availableToday reversed the week
7SolanaSOL$110.29+1.3%2.5%+10.0%Today reversed the week
2EthereumETH$2,509.59+1.3%1.8%+11.0%Today reversed the week
5XRPXRP$1.40+1.1%1.0%+11.0%Today reversed the week
23LitecoinLTC$64.04+1.0%4.2%Not availableToday reversed the week
16WhiteBIT CoinWBT$81.65+0.9%0.3%Not availableToday reversed the week
1BitcoinBTC$82,987.00+0.8%0.9%+4.3%Today reversed the week
9Figure HelocFIGR_HELOC$1.00-0.2%1.5%Not availableNo strong pattern
8TRONTRX$0.3307-0.4%0.8%Not availableNo strong pattern
19LEO TokenLEO$8.85-0.9%0.0%Not availableNo strong pattern
25CantonCC$0.1186-2.3%0.2%Not availableNo strong pattern
What would change the answer?

The warning strengthens if more large coins fall, the typical loss deepens, and forced closures grow together. It weakens if the typical coin turns positive and more than half of large coins rise. One signal alone should not change the view.

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated