Cross-Market Signal Lab
7 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Bitcoin led; Bitcoin moved +7.8%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
This page aligns crypto, share funds, bond funds, the dollar and commodities on the same US market dates. It checks breadth, changing relationships, possible lead-lag clues and what remains without the winner.
BTC
STOCKSDOLLARGOLDRATESthe useful signal is often the market that refuses to follow
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Which market refuses to follow?
Identical dates expose whether crypto is joining a wider move or separating from it.
| Market | 5 sessions | 21 sessions | 63 sessions | 252 sessions | Yearly movement | From yearly high | Buying pressure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | -2.3% | +7.8% | +32.6% | -33.1% | 38.6% | -32.2% | -0.01 |
| Technology-share fund | +0.2% | +6.1% | +5.7% | +23.4% | 18.7% | -1.1% | +0.18 |
| US 10-year yield | -0.6% | +6.1% | +13.8% | +27.0% | 14.5% | -1.3% | Not available |
| Dollar fund | +0.4% | +3.5% | +1.8% | +7.8% | 5.4% | -0.1% | +0.06 |
| US-share fund | +1.2% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +16.9% | 11.2% | -0.1% | +0.06 |
| Copper futures | +2.3% | +2.7% | +6.6% | +31.6% | 22.1% | -2.4% | Not available |
| Ethereum | -6.8% | +2.0% | +40.1% | -45.1% | 54.2% | -43.1% | -0.01 |
| High-yield bond fund | +0.4% | -1.3% | -1.4% | +1.6% | 3.4% | -2.4% | -0.06 |
| Long-bond fund | +0.6% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -8.6% | 10.2% | -11.5% | +0.06 |
| Gold futures | +1.3% | -4.3% | +5.3% | +3.6% | 21.8% | -20.7% | -0.04 |
| Oil futures | +0.8% | -10.4% | +17.5% | +46.8% | 48.3% | -18.7% | +0.00 |
| Equity fear index | -3.1% | -16.8% | -13.5% | -9.0% | 99.1% | -52.2% | Not available |
7 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Bitcoin led; Bitcoin moved +7.8%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
Does another market move first?
Same-day and one-day-offset links are kept separate. A stronger prior-day link is only a clue worth watching.
A lead-lag pattern must repeat before it becomes useful.