Cross-Market Signal Lab
6 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Bitcoin led; Bitcoin moved +5.9%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
This page aligns crypto, share funds, bond funds, the dollar and commodities on the same US market dates. It checks breadth, changing relationships, possible lead-lag clues and what remains without the winner.
BTC
STOCKSDOLLARGOLDRATESthe useful signal is often the market that refuses to follow
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Which market refuses to follow?
Identical dates expose whether crypto is joining a wider move or separating from it.
| Market | 5 sessions | 21 sessions | 63 sessions | 252 sessions | Yearly movement | From yearly high | Buying pressure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | -4.7% | +5.9% | +25.9% | -32.8% | 37.4% | -29.1% | -0.15 |
| US 10-year yield | -1.3% | +5.3% | +14.3% | +26.3% | 14.3% | -1.3% | Not available |
| Technology-share fund | -1.3% | +4.5% | +3.8% | +22.7% | 18.4% | -1.8% | +0.15 |
| Dollar fund | +0.5% | +3.8% | +2.6% | +7.5% | 5.3% | +0.0% | +0.10 |
| Copper futures | +1.7% | +3.5% | +5.8% | +32.0% | 21.7% | -1.5% | Not available |
| US-share fund | +0.4% | +2.1% | +3.8% | +17.2% | 11.0% | -0.1% | +0.06 |
| High-yield bond fund | +0.4% | -1.2% | -1.6% | +1.9% | 3.3% | -2.3% | -0.07 |
| Ethereum | -9.8% | -2.8% | +29.4% | -44.1% | 52.4% | -42.4% | -0.16 |
| Long-bond fund | +1.2% | -3.1% | -6.1% | -8.4% | 10.1% | -11.4% | +0.08 |
| Equity fear index | -2.0% | -4.0% | -7.8% | -7.4% | 97.8% | -51.0% | Not available |
| Gold futures | +0.8% | -5.0% | +3.0% | +5.5% | 21.3% | -21.2% | -0.07 |
| Oil futures | +4.8% | -6.3% | +18.1% | +52.4% | 47.8% | -17.0% | +0.06 |
6 of 12 markets rose over 21 sessions. Bitcoin led; Bitcoin moved +5.9%, and its strongest recent daily link was with Ethereum at +0.88.
Does another market move first?
Same-day and one-day-offset links are kept separate. A stronger prior-day link is only a clue worth watching.
A lead-lag pattern must repeat before it becomes useful.