Market Contradiction Lab

Large stablecoin pools pay a value-weighted 3.32% in base interest, -0.75 points versus the three-month Treasury reading. Rewards add 0.47 points, but 49 pools get more than half their displayed yield from rewards.

This page looks for the useful disagreement: high yield with little size, a rate driven by rewards, cash-like returns during a risk sell-off, or a market headline carried by one pool or chain.

FIVE
CONTRADICTIONS
yield, money, price, activity and concentration
Stable pools checked466At least $5m and base rate available
Value in checked pools$36.2bnReported pool value
Base interest3.32%Value weighted
Displayed total yield3.80%Base plus rewards
Reward contribution+0.47 pointsValue weighted
Three-month Treasury4.07%Latest market reading
Base yield minus Treasury-0.75 pointsSimple comparison
Reward-heavy pools49More than half from rewards
Base yield above 10%25Potentially unusual
Largest poolsky-lending$4.9bn
Top ten pool share38.5%Concentration
Largest chain share55.8%Ethereum
Bitcoin · 21 sessions-2.9%Risk appetite control
Gold · 21 sessions-6.0%Outside-market control

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A high yield can tell two stories

Borrower-paid interest and reward tokens are shown separately. Pool size sits beside both.

PoolChainReported valueBase interestRewardsDisplayed totalReward share
sky-lending · SUSDSEthereum$4.9bn3.80%Not available3.80%0%
maple · USDCEthereum$2.8bn5.21%0.00%5.21%0%
ethena-usde · SUSDEEthereum$1.2bn4.71%Not available4.71%0%
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLAptos$967.8mn0.00%Not available0.00%Not available
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLSolana$885.6mn0.00%Not available0.00%Not available
maple · USDTEthereum$729.0mn5.33%0.00%5.33%0%
spark-savings · USDTEthereum$687.9mn3.75%Not available3.75%0%
invesco-ustb · USTBEthereum$604.4mn3.35%Not available3.35%0%
aave-v3 · USDEPlasma$570.4mn0.26%Not available0.26%0%
usd-ai · SUSDAIArbitrum$553.3mn6.24%Not available6.24%0%
maple · USDGEthereum$536.0mn4.98%0.00%4.98%0%
morpho-blue · STEAKUSDGRobinhood Chain$530.8mn3.70%3.32%7.02%47%
blackrock-buidl · BUIDLAvalanche$481.6mn0.00%Not available0.00%Not available
jupiter-lend · USDCSolana$480.8mn6.32%Not available6.32%0%
morpho-blue · SIRLOINUSDCBase$470.4mn3.16%2.63%5.78%45%

Large stablecoin pools pay a value-weighted 3.32% in base interest, -0.75 points versus the three-month Treasury reading. Rewards add 0.47 points, but 49 pools get more than half their displayed yield from rewards.

Does the comparison survive the largest pool?

The value-weighted base rate is rebuilt without its biggest pool.

Base interest3.32%
3-month Treasury4.07%
Displayed yield3.80%

Research by for Charlie Quant Lab · Updated